UK Economic Brief - October 2002

Weak equity markets fail to dent household confidence:

  • The third quarter of 2002 saw global stockmarkets post further sharp falls
  • But fears over the economic outlook have not been strong enough to prompt interest rate cuts
  • Strong consumer spending and house prices, indicate that the UK economy held up well in Q3

Commercial property market

  • Surveyors reported a drop in occupier demand for commercial premises in the third quarter
  • Commercial rents have been at a standstill since the start of the year
  • By contrast, investment demand for commercial property has been very strong as investors have sought refuge from the plunging stockmarket

Construction market

  • Construction workloads grew at a slower pace in the third quarter
  • Growth was slightly below the long-run average, and the lowest since the first quarter of 1999
  • Workloads have shown increasing strength in the public sector, but stabilised in the private sector

Residential property market

  • House price inflation has remained strong in recent months
  • Fears of price falls in London heightened by financial sector job losses
  • Price rises outside of London have picked up on improved employment and buy-to-let activity.

To view this report in full visit www.rics.org

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